Constituency profile

Halesowen

West Midlands · Borough constituency

Alex Ballinger MP
Sitting MP

Alex Ballinger

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
West Midlands
Borough constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCL
Conservative 4/5, Labour 1/5
EU referendum 2016
65.1% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +13.2pp above mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +13.0pp
Vulnerability score 9/10 (Labour projected to lose)
MidlandsStrong Leave areaWorking-class profile

Who lives in Halesowen? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
65.1%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
25.0%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
23.0%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
67.3%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
32.0%
UK average ~36%
Median age
41.2
UK median ~40
Age 65+
24.3%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
29.2%
UK average ~28%

How did Halesowen vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 4,364 votes (11.3pp) · turnout 56.3%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Halesowen

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Halesowen within Dudley and Sandwell

Halesowen crosses multiple council boundaries: Dudley (84%), Sandwell (16%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Dudley
47 LSOAs
84%View projection ›
Sandwell
9 LSOAs
16%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Halesowen at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Halesowen at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorCon gain from LabJames Morris Halesowen and Rowley Regis MP36.6%41.2%14.8%6.4% UKIP-1.0%2,02369.0%
2015predecessorCon holdJames Morris Halesowen and Rowley Regis MP36.2%43.2%2.1%16.6% UKIP1.9%-3,08266.3%
2017predecessorCon holdJames Morris Halesowen and Rowley Regis MP40.0%51.9%1.9%4.8% UKIP1.0%0.4%5,25364.5%
2019notionalConservative winnerJames Morris Halesowen and Rowley Regis MP, pre-review boundary32.6%60.2%3.5%-2.4%1.3%12,08262.5%
2024Lab gain from ConAlex Ballinger38.9%27.6%5.9%22.0% Ref5.6%-4,36456.3%

Halesowen was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Halesowen and Rowley Regis (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Halesowen

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Halesowen. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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