Who is the MP for Goole and Pocklington?

David Davis (Conservative) is the MP for Goole and Pocklington. They were first elected in July 2008.

Who won Goole and Pocklington at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Goole and Pocklington was won by Conservative with 38.2% of the vote, ahead of Labour on 31.0%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Goole and Pocklington?

PollCheck's current projection has Reform UK on 35.7% and Conservative on 30.4% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Goole and Pocklington in?

Goole and Pocklington sits within East Riding of Yorkshire council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but East Riding of Yorkshire covers most or all of the Goole and Pocklington area.

What is the demographic profile of Goole and Pocklington?

Goole and Pocklington is in Yorkshire and The Humber. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 61.7% in 2016). Around 32.4% of residents have a degree, a median age of 47, and 74.6% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Goole and Pocklington?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Goole and Pocklington, Conservative won with 38.2% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Goole and Pocklington in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Goole and Pocklington: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Conservative.

Constituency profile

Goole and Pocklington

Yorkshire and The Humber · County constituency · East Riding of Yorkshire borough

Sitting MP

David Davis

Conservative

First elected July 2008

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

Yorkshire and The Humber

County constituency, East Riding of Yorkshire council

Last 5 GE winners

CCCCC

Conservative 5/5

EU referendum 2016

61.7% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +9.8pp above mean

Current outlook

Reform UK +5.3pp

Vulnerability score 6/10 (Conservative projected to lose)

NorthernStrong Leave area

Who lives in Goole and Pocklington? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

61.7%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

32.4%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

16.9%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

74.6%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

24.9%

UK average ~36%

Median age

46.7

UK median ~40

Age 65+

27.4%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

24.2%

UK average ~28%

How did Goole and Pocklington vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Con hold · majority 3,572 votes (7.2pp) · turnout 62.2%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Goole and Pocklington

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Goole and Pocklington within East Riding of Yorkshire

The Westminster constituency of Goole and Pocklington sits entirely within East Riding of Yorkshire Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
East Riding of Yorkshire 61 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Goole and Pocklington at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Goole and Pocklington at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Con hold	David Davis Haltemprice and Howden MP	15.7%	50.2%	26.4%	-	1.4%	6.3%	11,602	69.4%
2015predecessor	Con hold	David Davis Haltemprice and Howden MP	21.0%	54.2%	6.3%	13.9% UKIP	3.7%	1.0%	16,195	68.5%
2017predecessor	Con hold	David Davis Haltemprice and Howden MP	31.0%	61.0%	4.8%	-	1.4%	1.8%	15,405	71.9%
2019notional	Conservative winner	David Davis Haltemprice and Howden MP, pre-review boundary	20.4%	65.1%	7.8%	-	3.9%	2.8%	22,302	65.4%
2024	Con hold	David Davis	31.0%	38.2%	6.8%	18.2% Ref	4.9%	0.9%	3,572	62.2%

Goole and Pocklington was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Haltemprice and Howden (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Goole and Pocklington

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Goole and Pocklington. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.