Constituency profile

Glastonbury and Somerton

South West · County constituency · Somerset borough

Sarah Dyke MP
Sitting MP

Sarah Dyke

Liberal Democrat

First elected July 2023

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
South West
County constituency, Somerset council
Last 5 GE winners
LDCCCLD
Conservative 3/5, Liberal Democrats 2/5
EU referendum 2016
54.6% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +2.7pp above mean
Current outlook
Liberal Democrats +12.8pp
vs Reform UK 26.7%
SouthernBrexit-marginal

Who lives in Glastonbury and Somerton? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
54.6%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
32.2%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
15.8%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
69.3%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
29.4%
UK average ~36%
Median age
49.0
UK median ~40
Age 65+
31.1%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
23.9%
UK average ~28%

How did Glastonbury and Somerton vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

LD gain from Con · majority 6,611 votes (13.8pp) · turnout 65.0%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Glastonbury and Somerton

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Glastonbury and Somerton within Somerset

The Westminster constituency of Glastonbury and Somerton sits entirely within Somerset Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Somerset
53 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Glastonbury and Somerton at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Glastonbury and Somerton at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLD holdDavid Heath Somerton and Frome MP4.4%44.5%47.5%3.2% UKIP-0.4%1,81774.3%
2015predecessorCon gain from LDDavid Warburton Somerton and Frome MP7.3%53.0%19.4%10.7% UKIP9.0%0.6%20,26872.4%
2017predecessorCon holdDavid Warburton Somerton and Frome MP17.2%56.7%20.9%-3.7%1.6%22,90675.7%
2019notionalConservative winnerDavid Warburton Somerton and Frome MP, pre-review boundary9.6%57.5%30.9%-2.0%-14,18376.0%
2024LD gain from ConSarah Dyke6.5%28.9%42.7%16.1% Ref5.7%-6,61165.0%

Glastonbury and Somerton was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Somerton and Frome (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Glastonbury and Somerton

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Glastonbury and Somerton. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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