Constituency profile

Glasgow West

Scotland · Burgh constituency · Glasgow City borough

Patricia Ferguson MP
Sitting MP

Patricia Ferguson

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Scotland
Burgh constituency, Glasgow City council
Last 5 GE winners
LSSSL
SNP 3/5, Labour 2/5
EU referendum 2016
26.6% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -25.3pp below mean
Current outlook
SNP +10.5pp
Vulnerability score 7/10 (Labour projected to lose)
ScottishStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavy

Who lives in Glasgow West? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
26.6%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
54.3%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
16.0%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
49.0%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
49.7%
UK average ~36%
Median age
37.1
UK median ~40
Age 65+
17.1%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
38.4%
UK average ~28%

How did Glasgow West vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from SNP · majority 6,446 votes (16.2pp) · turnout 57.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Glasgow West

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 800 residents each, from Scotland's 2022 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Glasgow West voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Glasgow West crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Glasgow Anniesland (82%), Glasgow Kelvin and Maryhill (9%), Glasgow Central (3%), Strathkelvin and Bearsden (2%), Renfrewshire North and Cardonald (2%), Clydebank and Milngavie (2%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituencyShare of Glasgow WestWinnerRunner-upElected MSP
Glasgow Anniesland82%SNP 43.7%Labour 30.2%Colm Merrick
Glasgow Kelvin and Maryhill9%SNP 32.8%Green 26.4%Bob Doris
Glasgow Central3%SNP 57.4%Labour 19.4%Alison Thewliss
Strathkelvin and Bearsden2%Liberal Democrats 39.5%SNP 33.0%Adam Harley
Renfrewshire North and Cardonald2%SNP 41.6%Labour 27.4%Michelle Campbell
Clydebank and Milngavie2%SNP 38.6%Labour 25.2%Marie McNair

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

Glasgow West within Glasgow City

The Westminster constituency of Glasgow West sits entirely within Glasgow City Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Glasgow City
1 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Glasgow West at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Glasgow West at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdJohn Robertson Glasgow North West MP54.1%9.9%15.8%-2.5%2.5%13,61158.3%
2015predecessorSNP gain from LabCarol Monaghan Glasgow North West MP30.9%8.4%2.7%-2.7%0.8%10,36464.1%
2017predecessorSNP holdCarol Monaghan Glasgow North West MP35.9%18.0%3.6%---2,56160.9%
2019notionalScottish National Party winnerCarol Monaghan Glasgow North West MP, pre-review boundary28.0%15.3%7.5%--49.2%9,72865.2%
2024Lab gain from SNPPatricia Ferguson46.7%4.3%3.3%5.3% Ref9.2%0.8%6,44657.8%

Glasgow West was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Glasgow North West (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Glasgow West

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Glasgow West. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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