Constituency profile

Glasgow South

Scotland · Burgh constituency · Glasgow City borough

Gordon McKee MP
Sitting MP

Gordon McKee

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Scotland
Burgh constituency, Glasgow City council
Last 5 GE winners
LSSSL
SNP 3/5, Labour 2/5
EU referendum 2016
28.2% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -23.7pp below mean
Current outlook
SNP +16.5pp
Vulnerability score 9/10 (Labour projected to lose)
ScottishStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavy

Who lives in Glasgow South? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
28.2%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
53.1%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
16.9%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
56.8%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
42.0%
UK average ~36%
Median age
38.5
UK median ~40
Age 65+
18.6%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
34.9%
UK average ~28%

How did Glasgow South vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from SNP · majority 4,154 votes (9.8pp) · turnout 60.4%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Glasgow South

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 800 residents each, from Scotland's 2022 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Glasgow South voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Glasgow South crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Glasgow Cathcart and Pollok (69%), Glasgow Southside (23%), Eastwood (3%), East Kilbride (3%), Rutherglen and Cambuslang (2%), Renfrewshire North and Cardonald (1%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituencyShare of Glasgow SouthWinnerRunner-upElected MSP
Glasgow Cathcart and Pollok69%SNP 44.3%Labour 28.3%Zen Ghani
Glasgow Southside23%Green 36.5%SNP 28.4%Holly Bruce
Eastwood3%SNP 33.2%Conservative 31.3%Kirsten Oswald
East Kilbride3%SNP 42.4%Labour 27.8%Collette Stevenson
Rutherglen and Cambuslang2%SNP 44.2%Labour 26.9%Clare Haughey
Renfrewshire North and Cardonald1%SNP 41.6%Labour 27.4%Michelle Campbell

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

Glasgow South within Glasgow City

The Westminster constituency of Glasgow South sits entirely within Glasgow City Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Glasgow City
1 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Glasgow South at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Glasgow South at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdTom Harris51.7%11.5%11.8%-2.4%2.5%12,65861.6%
2015SNP gain from LabStewart McDonald29.7%9.7%2.1%-2.9%0.6%12,26965.9%
2017SNP holdStewart McDonald36.6%19.1%3.2%---2,02764.4%
2019notionalScottish National Party winnerStewart Malcolm McDonald 2019 MP, pre-review boundary29.5%12.7%6.0%--51.8%9,15168.0%
2024Lab gain from SNPGordon McKee41.8%3.8%3.1%4.1% Ref13.1%2.2%4,15460.4%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Glasgow South

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Glasgow South. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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