Who is the MP for Glasgow East?

John Grady (Labour) is the MP for Glasgow East. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Glasgow East at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Glasgow East was won by Labour with 43.9% of the vote, ahead of SNP on 33.2%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Glasgow East?

PollCheck's current projection has SNP on 40.4% and Labour on 25.3% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Glasgow East in?

Glasgow East sits within Glasgow City council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Glasgow City covers most or all of the Glasgow East area.

What is the demographic profile of Glasgow East?

Glasgow East is in Scotland. The seat is Remain-voting (Leave vote estimated at 43.8% in 2016). Around 44.0% of residents have a degree, a median age of 36, and 44.9% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Glasgow East?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Glasgow East, Labour won with 43.9% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Glasgow East in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Glasgow East: 2010 Labour, 2015 SNP, 2017 SNP, 2019 SNP, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Glasgow East

Scotland · Burgh constituency · Glasgow City borough

Sitting MP

John Grady

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

Scotland

Burgh constituency, Glasgow City council

Last 5 GE winners

LSSSL

SNP 3/5, Labour 2/5

EU referendum 2016

43.8% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -8.1pp below mean

Current outlook

SNP +15.1pp

Vulnerability score 9/10 (Labour projected to lose)

ScottishRemain-leaningGraduate-heavy

Who lives in Glasgow East? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

43.8%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

44.0%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

21.9%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

44.9%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

53.5%

UK average ~36%

Median age

36.3

UK median ~40

Age 65+

16.3%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

38.7%

UK average ~28%

How did Glasgow East vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from SNP · majority 3,784 votes (10.7pp) · turnout 51.4%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Glasgow East

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 800 residents each, from Scotland's 2022 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Glasgow East voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Glasgow East crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Glasgow Baillieston and Shettleston (56%), Glasgow Central (24%), Glasgow Southside (10%), Rutherglen and Cambuslang (5%), Uddingston and Bellshill (3%), Coatbridge and Chryston (2%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituency	Share of Glasgow East	Winner	Runner-up	Elected MSP
Glasgow Baillieston and Shettleston	56%	SNP 44.7%	Reform UK 25.8%	David Linden
Glasgow Central	24%	SNP 57.4%	Labour 19.4%	Alison Thewliss
Glasgow Southside	10%	Green 36.5%	SNP 28.4%	Holly Bruce
Rutherglen and Cambuslang	5%	SNP 44.2%	Labour 26.9%	Clare Haughey
Uddingston and Bellshill	3%	SNP 40.9%	Labour 30.2%	Steven Bonnar
Coatbridge and Chryston	2%	SNP 49.1%	Labour 26.1%	Fulton MacGregor

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

Glasgow East within Glasgow City

The Westminster constituency of Glasgow East sits entirely within Glasgow City Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Glasgow City 1 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Glasgow East at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Glasgow East at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	Lab hold	Margaret Curran	61.6%	4.5%	5.0%	0.6% UKIP	-	3.5%	11,840	52.0%
2015	SNP gain from Lab	Natalie McGarry	32.4%	6.0%	0.7%	2.6% UKIP	0.9%	0.5%	10,387	60.3%
2017	SNP hold	David Linden	38.6%	18.8%	1.6%	1.4% UKIP	-	0.8%	75	54.6%
2019notional	Scottish National Party winner	David Linden 2019 MP, pre-review boundary	33.5%	12.3%	4.1%	-	-	50.1%	6,276	59.0%
2024	Lab gain from SNP	John Grady	43.9%	4.8%	2.5%	6.7% Ref	7.7%	1.3%	3,784	51.4%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Glasgow East

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Glasgow East. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.