Constituency profile

Frome and East Somerset

South West · County constituency

Anna Sabine MP
Sitting MP

Anna Sabine

Liberal Democrat

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
South West
County constituency
Last 5 GE winners
LDCCCLD
Conservative 3/5, Liberal Democrats 2/5
EU referendum 2016
51.9% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +0.0pp below mean
Current outlook
Liberal Democrats +11.4pp
vs Reform UK 26.0%
SouthernBrexit-marginal

Who lives in Frome and East Somerset? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
51.9%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
32.5%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
16.2%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
71.1%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
27.9%
UK average ~36%
Median age
45.0
UK median ~40
Age 65+
26.2%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
25.7%
UK average ~28%

How did Frome and East Somerset vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

LD gain from Con · majority 5,415 votes (11.6pp) · turnout 65.3%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Frome and East Somerset

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Frome and East Somerset within Somerset and Bath and North East Somerset

Frome and East Somerset crosses multiple council boundaries: Somerset (60%), Bath and North East Somerset (40%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Somerset
33 LSOAs
60%
Bath and North East Somerset
22 LSOAs
40%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Frome and East Somerset at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Frome and East Somerset at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLD holdDavid Heath Somerton and Frome MP4.4%44.5%47.5%3.2% UKIP-0.4%1,81774.3%
2015predecessorCon gain from LDDavid Warburton Somerton and Frome MP7.3%53.0%19.4%10.7% UKIP9.0%0.6%20,26872.4%
2017predecessorCon holdDavid Warburton Somerton and Frome MP17.2%56.7%20.9%-3.7%1.6%22,90675.7%
2019notionalConservative winnerDavid Warburton Somerton and Frome MP, pre-review boundary21.2%49.3%23.5%-6.1%-12,39568.4%
2024LD gain from ConAnna Sabine13.7%23.9%35.5%13.8% Ref10.9%2.2%5,41565.3%

Frome and East Somerset was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Somerton and Frome (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Frome and East Somerset

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Frome and East Somerset. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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