Who is the MP for Edmonton and Winchmore Hill?

Kate Osamor (Labour (Co-op)) is the MP for Edmonton and Winchmore Hill. They were first elected in May 2015.

Who won Edmonton and Winchmore Hill at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Edmonton and Winchmore Hill was won by Labour with 50.0% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 19.2%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Edmonton and Winchmore Hill?

PollCheck's current projection has Labour on 32.4% and Reform UK on 21.4% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Edmonton and Winchmore Hill in?

Edmonton and Winchmore Hill sits within Enfield council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Enfield covers most or all of the Edmonton and Winchmore Hill area.

What is the demographic profile of Edmonton and Winchmore Hill?

Edmonton and Winchmore Hill is in London. The seat is Remain-voting (Leave vote estimated at 44.2% in 2016). Around 33.3% of residents have a degree, a median age of 37, and 50.0% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Edmonton and Winchmore Hill?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Edmonton and Winchmore Hill, Labour won with 50.0% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Edmonton and Winchmore Hill in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Edmonton and Winchmore Hill: 2010 Labour, 2015 Labour, 2017 Labour, 2019 Labour, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Edmonton and Winchmore Hill

London · Borough constituency · Enfield borough

Sitting MP

Kate Osamor

Labour (Co-op)

First elected May 2015

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

London

Borough constituency, Enfield council

Last 5 GE winners

LLLLL

Labour 5/5

EU referendum 2016

44.2% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -7.7pp below mean

Current outlook

Labour +11.0pp

vs Reform UK 21.4%

LondonRemain-leaningDiverse

Who lives in Edmonton and Winchmore Hill? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

44.2%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

33.3%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

24.9%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

50.0%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

48.9%

UK average ~36%

Median age

37.3

UK median ~40

Age 65+

17.2%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

32.9%

UK average ~28%

How did Edmonton and Winchmore Hill vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 12,632 votes (30.8pp) · turnout 54.2%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Edmonton and Winchmore Hill

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Edmonton and Winchmore Hill within Enfield

The Westminster constituency of Edmonton and Winchmore Hill sits entirely within Enfield Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat	Projection
Enfield 73 LSOAs	100%	View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Edmonton and Winchmore Hill at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Edmonton and Winchmore Hill at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Lab hold	Andy Love Edmonton MP	53.7%	29.8%	10.5%	2.6% UKIP	1.3%	2.1%	9,613	63.2%
2015predecessor	Lab hold	Kate Osamor Edmonton MP	61.4%	24.1%	2.2%	8.1% UKIP	3.3%	0.9%	15,419	62.6%
2017predecessor	Lab hold	Kate Osamor Edmonton MP	71.5%	23.1%	2.0%	2.0% UKIP	1.4%	-	21,115	66.4%
2019notional	Labour winner	Kate Osamor Edmonton MP, pre-review boundary	58.2%	31.1%	6.7%	-	2.1%	1.9%	13,067	64.2%
2024	Lab hold	Kate Osamor	50.0%	19.2%	6.6%	8.5% Ref	9.0%	6.7%	12,632	54.2%

Edmonton and Winchmore Hill was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Edmonton (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Edmonton and Winchmore Hill

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Edmonton and Winchmore Hill. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.