Who is the MP for Edinburgh South?

Ian Murray (Labour) is the MP for Edinburgh South. They were first elected in May 2010.

Who won Edinburgh South at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Edinburgh South was won by Labour with 53.3% of the vote, ahead of SNP on 16.5%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Edinburgh South?

PollCheck's current projection has Labour on 30.6% and SNP on 23.4% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Edinburgh South in?

Edinburgh South sits within Edinburgh council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Edinburgh covers most or all of the Edinburgh South area.

What is the demographic profile of Edinburgh South?

Edinburgh South is in Scotland. The seat is Remain-voting (Leave vote estimated at 22.1% in 2016). Around 61.5% of residents have a degree, a median age of 38, and 67.2% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Edinburgh South?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Edinburgh South, Labour won with 53.3% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Edinburgh South in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Edinburgh South: 2010 Labour, 2015 Labour, 2017 Labour, 2019 Labour, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Edinburgh South

Scotland · Burgh constituency · Edinburgh borough

Sitting MP

Ian Murray

Labour

First elected May 2010

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

Scotland

Burgh constituency, Edinburgh council

Last 5 GE winners

LLLLL

Labour 5/5

EU referendum 2016

22.1% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -29.8pp below mean

Current outlook

Labour +7.2pp

vs SNP 23.4%

ScottishStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavy

Who lives in Edinburgh South? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

22.1%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

61.5%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

8.5%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

67.2%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

31.7%

UK average ~36%

Median age

38.1

UK median ~40

Age 65+

20.9%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

37.2%

UK average ~28%

How did Edinburgh South vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 17,251 votes (36.8pp) · turnout 66.1%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Edinburgh South

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 800 residents each, from Scotland's 2022 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Edinburgh South voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Edinburgh South crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Edinburgh Southern (89%), Edinburgh Central (6%), Midlothian North (4%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituency	Share of Edinburgh South	Winner	Runner-up	Elected MSP
Edinburgh Southern	89%	Labour 42.9%	SNP 30.3%	Daniel Johnson
Edinburgh Central	6%	Green 36.0%	Labour 23.0%	Lorna Slater
Midlothian North	4%	SNP 38.9%	Labour 30.3%	Colin Beattie

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

Edinburgh South within Edinburgh

The Westminster constituency of Edinburgh South sits entirely within Edinburgh Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Edinburgh 1 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Edinburgh South at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Edinburgh South at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	Lab hold	Ian Murray	34.7%	21.6%	34.0%	-	2.0%	-	316	73.8%
2015	Lab hold	Ian Murray	39.1%	17.5%	3.7%	1.2% UKIP	4.2%	0.4%	2,637	74.9%
2017	Lab hold	Ian Murray	54.9%	19.7%	2.9%	-	-	-	15,514	74.1%
2019notional	Labour winner	Ian Murray 2019 MP, pre-review boundary	46.2%	16.8%	8.2%	-	-	28.8%	10,795	74.7%
2024	Lab hold	Ian Murray	53.3%	8.5%	5.9%	3.9% Ref	9.1%	2.7%	17,251	66.1%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Edinburgh South

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Edinburgh South. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.