Who is the MP for Edinburgh East and Musselburgh?

Chris Murray (Labour) is the MP for Edinburgh East and Musselburgh. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Edinburgh East and Musselburgh at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Edinburgh East and Musselburgh was won by Labour with 41.2% of the vote, ahead of SNP on 33.1%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Edinburgh East and Musselburgh?

PollCheck's current projection has SNP on 38.5% and Labour on 24.8% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Edinburgh East and Musselburgh in?

Edinburgh East and Musselburgh sits within East Lothian council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but East Lothian covers most or all of the Edinburgh East and Musselburgh area.

What is the demographic profile of Edinburgh East and Musselburgh?

Edinburgh East and Musselburgh is in Scotland. The seat is Remain-voting (Leave vote estimated at 31.5% in 2016). Around 53.8% of residents have a degree, a median age of 35, and 54.1% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Edinburgh East and Musselburgh?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Edinburgh East and Musselburgh, Labour won with 41.2% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Edinburgh East and Musselburgh in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Edinburgh East and Musselburgh: 2010 Labour, 2015 SNP, 2017 SNP, 2019 SNP, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Edinburgh East and Musselburgh

Scotland · Burgh constituency · East Lothian borough

Sitting MP

Chris Murray

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

Scotland

Burgh constituency, East Lothian council

Last 5 GE winners

LSSSL

SNP 3/5, Labour 2/5

EU referendum 2016

31.5% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -20.4pp below mean

Current outlook

SNP +13.7pp

Vulnerability score 8/10 (Labour projected to lose)

ScottishStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavy

Who lives in Edinburgh East and Musselburgh? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

31.5%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

53.8%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

11.1%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

54.1%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

44.7%

UK average ~36%

Median age

35.1

UK median ~40

Age 65+

16.1%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

43.2%

UK average ~28%

How did Edinburgh East and Musselburgh vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from SNP · majority 3,715 votes (8.1pp) · turnout 59.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Edinburgh East and Musselburgh

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 800 residents each, from Scotland's 2022 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Edinburgh East and Musselburgh voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Edinburgh East and Musselburgh crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Edinburgh Eastern, Musselburgh and Tranent (56%), Edinburgh North Eastern and Leith (28%), Edinburgh Central (8%), Edinburgh Southern (4%), Midlothian North (2%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituency	Share of Edinburgh East and Musselburgh	Winner	Runner-up	Elected MSP
Edinburgh Eastern, Musselburgh and Tranent	56%	SNP 44.7%	Labour 28.9%	Kate Campbell
Edinburgh North Eastern and Leith	28%	SNP 0.0%	Labour 32.4%	Ben Macpherson 13,630
Edinburgh Central	8%	Green 36.0%	Labour 23.0%	Lorna Slater
Edinburgh Southern	4%	Labour 42.9%	SNP 30.3%	Daniel Johnson
Midlothian North	2%	SNP 38.9%	Labour 30.3%	Colin Beattie

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

Edinburgh East and Musselburgh within East Lothian

The Westminster constituency of Edinburgh East and Musselburgh sits entirely within East Lothian Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
East Lothian 1 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Edinburgh East and Musselburgh at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Edinburgh East and Musselburgh at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Lab hold	Sheila Gilmore Edinburgh East MP	43.4%	10.9%	19.4%	-	5.1%	0.7%	9,181	65.4%
2015predecessor	SNP gain from Lab	Tommy Sheppard Edinburgh East MP	29.9%	9.9%	2.8%	1.9% UKIP	6.0%	0.2%	9,106	70.1%
2017predecessor	SNP hold	Tommy Sheppard Edinburgh East MP	34.7%	18.6%	4.2%	-	-	-	3,425	66.0%
2019notional	Scottish National Party winner	Tommy Sheppard Edinburgh East MP, pre-review boundary	26.4%	14.1%	7.0%	-	-	52.5%	11,796	69.0%
2024	Lab gain from SNP	Chris Murray	41.2%	5.7%	4.3%	4.7% Ref	10.2%	0.8%	3,715	59.8%

Edinburgh East and Musselburgh was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Edinburgh East (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Edinburgh East and Musselburgh

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Edinburgh East and Musselburgh. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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