Constituency profile

East Kilbride and Strathaven

Scotland · County constituency · South Lanarkshire borough

Joani Reid MP
Sitting MP

Joani Reid

Independent

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Scotland
County constituency, South Lanarkshire council
Last 5 GE winners
LSSSL
SNP 3/5, Labour 2/5
EU referendum 2016
36.8% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -15.1pp below mean
Current outlook
SNP +4.4pp
Vulnerability score 0/10 (Labour projected to lose)
ScottishRemain-leaningGraduate-heavy

Who lives in East Kilbride and Strathaven? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
36.8%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
45.4%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
14.8%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
73.7%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
25.3%
UK average ~36%
Median age
44.0
UK median ~40
Age 65+
23.4%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
27.2%
UK average ~28%

How did East Kilbride and Strathaven vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from SNP · majority 9,057 votes (19.4pp) · turnout 61.1%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of East Kilbride and Strathaven

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 800 residents each, from Scotland's 2022 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Holyrood 2026 layer

How East Kilbride and Strathaven voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

East Kilbride and Strathaven crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Clydesdale (78%), East Kilbride (15%), Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse (4%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituencyShare of East Kilbride and StrathavenWinnerRunner-upElected MSP
Clydesdale78%SNP 36.3%Labour 24.1%Màiri McAllan
East Kilbride15%SNP 42.4%Labour 27.8%Collette Stevenson
Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse4%SNP 37.8%Labour 29.2%Alex Kerr

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

East Kilbride and Strathaven within South Lanarkshire

The Westminster constituency of East Kilbride and Strathaven sits entirely within South Lanarkshire Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
South Lanarkshire
1 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for East Kilbride and Strathaven at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won East Kilbride and Strathaven at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdMichael McCann East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow MP51.5%13.0%9.9%-2.0%0.6%14,50366.6%
2015predecessorSNP gain from LabLisa Cameron East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow MP28.3%11.8%1.7%2.0% UKIP-0.5%16,52772.8%
2017predecessorSNP holdLisa Cameron East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow MP31.7%25.3%2.9%1.2% UKIP--3,86667.3%
2019notionalScottish National Party winnerLisa Cameron East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow MP, pre-review boundary21.6%21.4%6.9%1.1% Brx-49.0%13,16968.8%
2024Lab gain from SNPJoani Reid48.6%7.6%2.3%7.2% Ref3.9%1.3%9,05761.1%

East Kilbride and Strathaven was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like East Kilbride and Strathaven

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to East Kilbride and Strathaven. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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