Who is the MP for Dundee Central?

Chris Law (Scottish National Party) is the MP for Dundee Central. They were first elected in May 2015.

Who won Dundee Central at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Dundee Central was won by SNP with 40.0% of the vote, ahead of Labour on 38.3%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Dundee Central?

PollCheck's current projection has SNP on 44.0% and Labour on 19.1% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Dundee Central in?

Dundee Central sits within Dundee City council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Dundee City covers most or all of the Dundee Central area.

What is the demographic profile of Dundee Central?

Dundee Central is in Scotland. The seat is Remain-voting (Leave vote estimated at 39.6% in 2016). Around 45.0% of residents have a degree, a median age of 36, and 46.1% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Dundee Central?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Dundee Central, SNP won with 40.0% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Dundee Central in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Dundee Central: 2010 Labour, 2015 SNP, 2017 SNP, 2019 SNP, 2024 SNP.

Constituency profile

Dundee Central

Scotland · Burgh constituency · Dundee City borough

Sitting MP

Chris Law

Scottish National Party

First elected May 2015

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

Scotland

Burgh constituency, Dundee City council

Last 5 GE winners

LSSSS

SNP 4/5, Labour 1/5

EU referendum 2016

39.6% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -12.3pp below mean

Current outlook

SNP +24.9pp

vs Labour 19.1%

ScottishRemain-leaningGraduate-heavy

Who lives in Dundee Central? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

39.6%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

45.0%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

16.9%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

46.1%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

52.9%

UK average ~36%

Median age

36.0

UK median ~40

Age 65+

19.2%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

40.5%

UK average ~28%

How did Dundee Central vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

SNP hold · majority 675 votes (1.7pp) · turnout 52.3%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Dundee Central

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 800 residents each, from Scotland's 2022 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Dundee Central voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Dundee Central crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Dundee City West (79%), Dundee City East (18%), Angus South (2%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituency	Share of Dundee Central	Winner	Runner-up	Elected MSP
Dundee City West	79%	SNP 49.1%	Labour 24.6%	Heather Anderson
Dundee City East	18%	SNP 48.8%	Labour 18.0%	Stephen Gethins
Angus South	2%	SNP 42.3%	Conservative 21.3%	Lloyd Melville

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

Dundee Central within Dundee City

The Westminster constituency of Dundee Central sits entirely within Dundee City Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Dundee City 1 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Dundee Central at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Dundee Central at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Lab hold	Jim McGovern Dundee West MP	48.5%	9.3%	11.4%	-	-	1.9%	7,278	58.9%
2015predecessor	SNP gain from Lab	Chris Law Dundee West MP	23.7%	8.6%	2.4%	-	2.7%	0.7%	17,092	67.8%
2017predecessor	SNP hold	Chris Law Dundee West MP	33.1%	16.2%	3.1%	-	-	1.0%	5,262	61.7%
2019notional	Scottish National Party winner	Chris Law Dundee West MP, pre-review boundary	23.8%	11.1%	5.5%	-	-	59.6%	15,221	62.0%
2024	SNP hold	Chris Law	38.3%	4.0%	6.2%	6.1% Ref	-	5.4%	675	52.3%

Dundee Central was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Dundee West (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Dundee Central

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Dundee Central. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.