Who is the MP for Dudley?

Sonia Kumar (Labour) is the MP for Dudley. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Dudley at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Dudley was won by Labour with 34.1% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 28.8%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Dudley?

PollCheck's current projection has Reform UK on 43.5% and Conservative on 23.1% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Dudley in?

Dudley sits within Dudley council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Dudley covers most or all of the Dudley area.

What is the demographic profile of Dudley?

Dudley is in West Midlands. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 70.9% in 2016). Around 22.7% of residents have a degree, a median age of 39, and 59.4% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Dudley?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Dudley, Labour won with 34.1% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Dudley in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Dudley: 2010 Labour, 2015 Labour, 2017 Labour, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Dudley

West Midlands · Borough constituency · Dudley borough

Sitting MP

Sonia Kumar

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

West Midlands

Borough constituency, Dudley council

Last 5 GE winners

LLLCL

Labour 4/5, Conservative 1/5

EU referendum 2016

70.9% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +19.0pp above mean

Current outlook

Reform UK +20.4pp

Vulnerability score 10/10 (Labour projected to lose)

MidlandsStrong Leave areaWorking-class profile

Who lives in Dudley? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

70.9%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

22.7%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

25.8%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

59.4%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

39.5%

UK average ~36%

Median age

39.3

UK median ~40

Age 65+

22.1%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

31.1%

UK average ~28%

How did Dudley vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 1,900 votes (5.3pp) · turnout 51.0%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Dudley

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Dudley within Dudley

The Westminster constituency of Dudley sits entirely within Dudley Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat	Projection
Dudley 62 LSOAs	100%	View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Dudley at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Dudley at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Lab hold	Ian Austin Dudley North MP	38.7%	37.0%	10.5%	8.5% UKIP	-	5.4%	649	63.5%
2015predecessor	Lab hold	Ian Austin Dudley North MP	41.8%	30.8%	1.3%	24.0% UKIP	1.4%	0.8%	4,181	62.6%
2017predecessor	Lab hold	Ian Austin Dudley North MP	46.5%	46.4%	0.9%	5.5% UKIP	0.6%	-	22	62.7%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Marco Longhi Dudley North MP, pre-review boundary	30.9%	63.2%	3.8%	-	2.1%	-	13,609	59.4%
2024	Lab gain from Con	Sonia Kumar	34.1%	28.8%	3.0%	26.4% Ref	3.2%	4.5%	1,900	51.0%

Dudley was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Dudley North (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Dudley

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Dudley. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.