Constituency profile

Doncaster Central

Yorkshire and The Humber · County constituency · Doncaster borough

Sally Jameson MP
Sitting MP

Sally Jameson

Labour (Co-op)

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Yorkshire and The Humber
County constituency, Doncaster council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
66.7% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +14.8pp above mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +19.7pp
Vulnerability score 9/10 (Labour projected to lose)
NorthernStrong Leave areaWorking-class profile

Who lives in Doncaster Central? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
66.7%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
24.5%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
24.2%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
59.1%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
40.3%
UK average ~36%
Median age
40.5
UK median ~40
Age 65+
22.3%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
30.2%
UK average ~28%

How did Doncaster Central vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 9,551 votes (25.2pp) · turnout 50.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Doncaster Central

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Doncaster Central within Doncaster

The Westminster constituency of Doncaster Central sits entirely within Doncaster Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Doncaster
74 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Doncaster Central at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Doncaster Central at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdRosie Winterton39.7%24.8%21.1%3.4% UKIP-11.1%6,22957.2%
2015Lab holdRosie Winterton49.1%20.7%4.2%24.1% UKIP-1.8%10,09356.8%
2017Lab holdRosie Winterton57.9%34.4%2.3%--5.5%10,13160.0%
2019notionalLabour winnerRosie Winterton 2019 MP, pre-review boundary39.4%36.6%4.1%-2.3%17.6%1,27161.4%
2024Lab holdSally Jameson46.2%21.0%3.2%20.8% Ref5.0%4.0%9,55150.8%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Doncaster Central

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Doncaster Central. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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