Constituency profile

Croydon West

London · Borough constituency · Croydon borough

Sarah Jones MP
Sitting MP

Sarah Jones

Labour

First elected June 2017

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
London
Borough constituency, Croydon council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
45.8% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -6.1pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +18.4pp
vs Conservative 18.8%
LondonBrexit-marginalDiverse

Who lives in Croydon West? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
45.8%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
39.6%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
18.0%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
39.9%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
58.0%
UK average ~36%
Median age
34.8
UK median ~40
Age 65+
11.7%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
37.5%
UK average ~28%

How did Croydon West vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 14,226 votes (37.3pp) · turnout 48.9%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Croydon West

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Croydon West within Croydon

The Westminster constituency of Croydon West sits entirely within Croydon Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Croydon
71 LSOAs
100%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Croydon West at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Croydon West at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdMalcolm Wicks Croydon North MP56.0%24.1%14.0%1.7% UKIP2.0%2.2%16,48160.6%
2015predecessorLab holdSteve Reed Croydon North MP62.6%22.7%3.6%5.4% UKIP4.7%1.0%21,36462.3%
2017predecessorLab holdSteve Reed Croydon North MP74.2%19.9%2.8%1.3% UKIP1.6%0.3%32,36568.2%
2019notionalLabour winnerSteve Reed Croydon North MP, pre-review boundary66.7%21.5%7.0%-2.7%2.1%20,09062.8%
2024Lab holdSarah Jones54.1%16.8%9.6%5.6% Ref10.1%3.8%14,22648.9%

Croydon West was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Croydon North (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Croydon West

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Croydon West. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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