Who is the MP for Crewe and Nantwich?

Connor Naismith (Labour) is the MP for Crewe and Nantwich. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Crewe and Nantwich at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Crewe and Nantwich was won by Labour with 44.1% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 23.5%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Crewe and Nantwich?

PollCheck's current projection has Reform UK on 36.0% and Labour on 22.9% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Crewe and Nantwich in?

Crewe and Nantwich sits within Cheshire East council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Cheshire East covers most or all of the Crewe and Nantwich area.

What is the demographic profile of Crewe and Nantwich?

Crewe and Nantwich is in North West. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 60.3% in 2016). Around 29.4% of residents have a degree, a median age of 41, and 65.4% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Crewe and Nantwich?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Crewe and Nantwich, Labour won with 44.1% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Crewe and Nantwich in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Crewe and Nantwich: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Labour, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Crewe and Nantwich

North West · County constituency · Cheshire East borough

Sitting MP

Connor Naismith

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

North West

County constituency, Cheshire East council

Last 5 GE winners

CCLCL

Conservative 3/5, Labour 2/5

EU referendum 2016

60.3% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +8.4pp above mean

Current outlook

Reform UK +13.1pp

Vulnerability score 9/10 (Labour projected to lose)

NorthernStrong Leave area

Who lives in Crewe and Nantwich? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

60.3%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

29.4%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

19.2%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

65.4%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

33.6%

UK average ~36%

Median age

41.3

UK median ~40

Age 65+

22.8%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

29.5%

UK average ~28%

How did Crewe and Nantwich vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 9,727 votes (20.6pp) · turnout 60.2%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Crewe and Nantwich

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Crewe and Nantwich within Cheshire East

The Westminster constituency of Crewe and Nantwich sits entirely within Cheshire East Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Cheshire East 71 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Crewe and Nantwich at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Crewe and Nantwich at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	Con gain from Lab	Edward Timpson	34.0%	45.8%	15.0%	2.8% UKIP	-	2.4%	6,046	64.1%
2015	Con hold	Edward Timpson	37.7%	45.0%	2.8%	14.5% UKIP	-	-	3,620	67.3%
2017	Lab gain from Con	Laura Smith	47.1%	47.0%	2.4%	3.4% UKIP	-	-	48	69.7%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Kieran Mullan 2019 MP, pre-review boundary	39.2%	50.8%	5.1%	-	1.9%	3.0%	5,816	65.8%
2024	Lab gain from Con	Connor Naismith	44.1%	23.5%	4.8%	20.3% Ref	4.6%	2.6%	9,727	60.2%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Crewe and Nantwich

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Crewe and Nantwich. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.