Constituency profile

Cramlington and Killingworth

North East · County constituency

Emma Foody MP
Sitting MP

Emma Foody

Labour (Co-op)

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North East
County constituency
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
56.1% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +4.2pp above mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +3.3pp
Vulnerability score 8/10 (Labour projected to lose)
NorthernLeave-leaning

Who lives in Cramlington and Killingworth? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
56.1%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
29.1%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
17.4%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
67.4%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
31.7%
UK average ~36%
Median age
43.8
UK median ~40
Age 65+
25.6%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
26.6%
UK average ~28%

How did Cramlington and Killingworth vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 12,820 votes (28.3pp) · turnout 59.6%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Cramlington and Killingworth

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Cramlington and Killingworth within Northumberland and North Tyneside and 1 other council

Cramlington and Killingworth crosses multiple council boundaries: Northumberland (49%), North Tyneside (46%), Newcastle upon Tyne (5%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Northumberland
30 LSOAs
49%
North Tyneside
28 LSOAs
46%View projection ›
Newcastle upon Tyne
3 LSOAs
5%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Cramlington and Killingworth at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Cramlington and Killingworth at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdRonnie Campbell Blyth Valley MP44.5%16.6%27.2%4.3% UKIP-7.4%6,66861.3%
2015predecessorLab holdRonnie Campbell Blyth Valley MP46.3%21.7%5.9%22.3% UKIP3.8%-9,22962.8%
2017predecessorLab holdRonnie Campbell Blyth Valley MP55.9%37.3%4.6%-2.2%-7,91567.0%
2019notionalLabour winner44.4%39.9%5.2%-2.5%8.0%2,15765.6%
2024Lab holdEmma Foody49.1%18.9%4.2%20.8% Ref4.7%2.3%12,82059.6%

Cramlington and Killingworth was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Blyth Valley (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Cramlington and Killingworth

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Cramlington and Killingworth. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

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Sources

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