Constituency profile

Congleton

North West · County constituency · Cheshire East borough

Sarah Russell MP
Sitting MP

Sarah Russell

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North West
County constituency, Cheshire East council
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCL
Conservative 4/5, Labour 1/5
EU referendum 2016
52.6% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +0.7pp above mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +3.1pp
Vulnerability score 9/10 (Labour projected to lose)
NorthernBrexit-marginal

Who lives in Congleton? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
52.6%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
37.5%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
14.2%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
76.4%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
22.2%
UK average ~36%
Median age
46.9
UK median ~40
Age 65+
29.1%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
23.7%
UK average ~28%

How did Congleton vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 3,387 votes (6.8pp) · turnout 67.5%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Congleton

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Congleton within Cheshire East

The Westminster constituency of Congleton sits entirely within Cheshire East Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Cheshire East
52 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Congleton at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Congleton at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con holdFiona Bruce17.2%45.8%31.9%4.2% UKIP-0.9%7,06370.3%
2015Con holdFiona Bruce20.4%53.3%9.1%13.6% UKIP3.7%-16,77370.3%
2017Con holdFiona Bruce34.2%56.6%5.2%2.3% UKIP1.8%-12,61973.3%
2019notionalConservative winnerFiona Bruce 2019 MP, pre-review boundary24.1%60.6%11.1%-2.9%1.3%18,20371.3%
2024Lab gain from ConSarah Russell37.7%30.9%5.6%16.4% Ref4.0%5.4%3,38767.5%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Congleton

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Congleton. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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