Constituency profile

Coatbridge and Bellshill

Scotland · Burgh constituency · North Lanarkshire borough

Frank McNally MP
Sitting MP

Frank McNally

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Scotland
Burgh constituency, North Lanarkshire council
Last 5 GE winners
LSLSL
Labour 3/5, SNP 2/5
EU referendum 2016
38.8% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -13.1pp below mean
Current outlook
SNP +8.0pp
Vulnerability score 7/10 (Labour projected to lose)
ScottishRemain-leaning

Who lives in Coatbridge and Bellshill? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
38.8%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
36.4%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
22.7%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
61.3%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
37.5%
UK average ~36%
Median age
42.3
UK median ~40
Age 65+
20.6%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
29.1%
UK average ~28%

How did Coatbridge and Bellshill vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from SNP · majority 6,344 votes (16.4pp) · turnout 53.3%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Coatbridge and Bellshill

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 800 residents each, from Scotland's 2022 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Coatbridge and Bellshill voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Coatbridge and Bellshill crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Coatbridge and Chryston (62%), Uddingston and Bellshill (32%), Strathkelvin and Bearsden (2%), Cumbernauld and Kilsyth (2%), Motherwell and Wishaw (1%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituencyShare of Coatbridge and BellshillWinnerRunner-upElected MSP
Coatbridge and Chryston62%SNP 49.1%Labour 26.1%Fulton MacGregor
Uddingston and Bellshill32%SNP 40.9%Labour 30.2%Steven Bonnar
Strathkelvin and Bearsden2%Liberal Democrats 39.5%SNP 33.0%Adam Harley
Cumbernauld and Kilsyth2%SNP 50.8%Labour 23.8%Jamie Hepburn
Motherwell and Wishaw1%SNP 43.7%Labour 23.6%Clare Adamson

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

Coatbridge and Bellshill within North Lanarkshire

The Westminster constituency of Coatbridge and Bellshill sits entirely within North Lanarkshire Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
North Lanarkshire
1 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Coatbridge and Bellshill at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Coatbridge and Bellshill at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdTom Clarke Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill MP66.6%8.1%8.5%---20,71459.4%
2015predecessorSNP gain from LabPhil Boswell Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill MP33.9%6.3%1.1%2.1% UKIP--11,50168.6%
2017predecessorLab gain from SNPHugh Gaffney Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill MP42.6%16.2%2.0%---1,58663.3%
2019notionalScottish National Party winnerSteven Bonnar Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill MP, pre-review boundary36.3%11.9%3.0%--48.8%5,08463.3%
2024Lab gain from SNPFrank McNally49.8%3.6%1.7%6.7% Ref3.2%1.6%6,34453.3%

Coatbridge and Bellshill was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Coatbridge and Bellshill

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Coatbridge and Bellshill. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

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