Who is the MP for Clwyd East?

Becky Gittins (Labour) is the MP for Clwyd East. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Clwyd East at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Clwyd East was won by Labour with 38.6% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 29.0%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Clwyd East?

PollCheck's current projection has Reform UK on 26.4% and Conservative on 20.9% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Clwyd East in?

Clwyd East crosses multiple council boundaries: Flintshire (56%), Denbighshire (42%), Wrexham (2%). Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units.

What is the demographic profile of Clwyd East?

Clwyd East is in Wales. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 56.0% in 2016). Around 32.8% of residents have a degree, a median age of 49, and 72.5% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Clwyd East?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Clwyd East, Labour won with 38.6% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Clwyd East in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Clwyd East: 2010 Labour, 2015 Labour, 2017 Labour, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Clwyd East

Wales · County constituency

Sitting MP

Becky Gittins

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

Wales

County constituency

Last 5 GE winners

LLLCL

Labour 4/5, Conservative 1/5

EU referendum 2016

56.0% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +4.1pp above mean

Current outlook

Reform UK +5.5pp

Vulnerability score 8/10 (Labour projected to lose)

WelshLeave-leaning

Who lives in Clwyd East? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

56.0%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

32.8%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

17.2%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

72.5%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

27.0%

UK average ~36%

Median age

48.9

UK median ~40

Age 65+

30.2%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

23.3%

UK average ~28%

How did Clwyd East vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 4,622 votes (9.6pp) · turnout 62.4%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Clwyd East

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Senedd 2026 layer

How Clwyd East voted at the Senedd election (7 May 2026)

Clwyd East sits almost entirely within the Senedd constituency of Clwyd. Senedd elections use a closed-list proportional system; each Senedd seat returns six members.

Senedd constituency	Share of Clwyd East	Winner	Runner-up	Seats (6 per constituency)
Clwyd	99%	Reform UK 32.3%	Plaid Cymru 28.3%	3 Reform UK, 2 Plaid Cymru, 1 Conservative

Senedd 2026 results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new 16-seat Senedd boundary.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Clwyd East within Flintshire and Denbighshire and 1 other council

Clwyd East crosses multiple council boundaries: Flintshire (56%), Denbighshire (42%), Wrexham (2%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Flintshire 32 LSOAs	56%
Denbighshire 24 LSOAs	42%
Wrexham 1 LSOAs	2%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Clwyd East at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Clwyd East at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Lab hold	David Hanson Delyn MP	40.8%	34.6%	15.5%	1.8% UKIP	-	2.3%	2,272	69.2%
2015predecessor	Lab hold	David Hanson Delyn MP	40.5%	32.7%	3.7%	16.4% UKIP	1.8%	-	2,930	69.8%
2017predecessor	Lab hold	David Hanson Delyn MP	52.2%	41.4%	2.6%	-	-	-	4,240	72.9%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Rob Roberts Delyn MP, pre-review boundary	37.9%	47.9%	5.3%	-	-	8.9%	5,284	69.1%
2024	Lab gain from Con	Becky Gittins	38.7%	29.0%	3.9%	15.9% Ref	3.5%	1.3%	4,622	62.4%

Clwyd East was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Delyn (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Clwyd East

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Clwyd East. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.