Constituency profile

Cities of London and Westminster

London · Borough constituency

Rachel Blake MP
Sitting MP

Rachel Blake

Labour (Co-op)

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
London
Borough constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCL
Conservative 4/5, Labour 1/5
EU referendum 2016
28.1% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -23.8pp below mean
Current outlook
Conservative +7.2pp
Vulnerability score 7/10 (Labour projected to lose)
LondonStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavyDiverse

Who lives in Cities of London and Westminster? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
28.1%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
62.2%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
10.4%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
29.7%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
69.5%
UK average ~36%
Median age
36.5
UK median ~40
Age 65+
14.9%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
41.4%
UK average ~28%

How did Cities of London and Westminster vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 2,708 votes (6.9pp) · turnout 53.4%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Cities of London and Westminster

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Cities of London and Westminster within Westminster and City of London

Cities of London and Westminster crosses multiple council boundaries: Westminster (92%), City of London (8%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Westminster
71 LSOAs
92%View projection ›
City of London
6 LSOAs
8%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Cities of London and Westminster at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Cities of London and Westminster at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con holdMark Field22.2%52.2%20.5%1.8% UKIP2.1%1.3%11,07655.2%
2015Con holdMark Field27.4%54.1%7.0%5.2% UKIP5.4%1.0%9,67159.3%
2017Con holdMark Field38.4%46.6%11.0%1.1% UKIP2.1%0.7%3,14862.8%
2019notionalConservative winnerNickie Aiken 2019 MP, pre-review boundary28.9%40.3%28.2%-1.9%0.7%5,97671.3%
2024Lab gain from ConRachel Blake39.0%32.1%11.1%7.0% Ref7.3%3.5%2,70853.4%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Cities of London and Westminster

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Cities of London and Westminster. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.