Constituency profile

Chelsea and Fulham

London · Borough constituency

Ben Coleman MP
Sitting MP

Ben Coleman

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
London
Borough constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCL
Conservative 4/5, Labour 1/5
EU referendum 2016
29.1% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -22.8pp below mean
Current outlook
Conservative +11.3pp
Vulnerability score 8/10 (Labour projected to lose)
LondonStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavyDiverse

Who lives in Chelsea and Fulham? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
29.1%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
61.0%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
10.2%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
36.1%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
62.7%
UK average ~36%
Median age
35.2
UK median ~40
Age 65+
14.3%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
41.5%
UK average ~28%

How did Chelsea and Fulham vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 152 votes (0.3pp) · turnout 60.0%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Chelsea and Fulham

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Chelsea and Fulham within Hammersmith and Fulham and Kensington and Chelsea

Chelsea and Fulham crosses multiple council boundaries: Hammersmith and Fulham (68%), Kensington and Chelsea (32%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Hammersmith and Fulham
56 LSOAs
68%View projection ›
Kensington and Chelsea
26 LSOAs
32%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Chelsea and Fulham at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Chelsea and Fulham at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con holdGreg Hands18.5%60.5%16.2%1.2% UKIP1.7%1.9%16,72260.2%
2015Con holdGreg Hands23.1%62.9%5.2%5.1% UKIP3.7%-16,02263.4%
2017Con holdGreg Hands33.2%52.6%11.0%1.2% UKIP1.9%-8,18866.1%
2019notionalConservative winnerGreg Hands 2019 MP, pre-review boundary29.1%45.5%23.8%-0.4%1.2%8,99371.6%
2024Lab gain from ConBen Coleman39.4%39.1%7.7%6.7% Ref5.9%1.3%15260.0%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Chelsea and Fulham

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Chelsea and Fulham. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.