Who is the MP for Chelmsford?

Marie Goldman (Liberal Democrat) is the MP for Chelmsford. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Chelmsford at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Chelmsford was won by Liberal Democrats with 39.9% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 30.5%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Chelmsford?

PollCheck's current projection has Liberal Democrats on 41.3% and Reform UK on 24.3% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Chelmsford in?

Chelmsford sits within Chelmsford council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Chelmsford covers most or all of the Chelmsford area.

What is the demographic profile of Chelmsford?

Chelmsford is in East of England. The seat is closely divided on Brexit (Leave vote estimated at 50.7% in 2016). Around 36.2% of residents have a degree, a median age of 40, and 65.3% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Chelmsford?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Chelmsford, Liberal Democrats won with 39.9% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Chelmsford in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Chelmsford: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Liberal Democrats.

Constituency profile

Chelmsford

East of England · Borough constituency · Chelmsford borough

Sitting MP

Marie Goldman

Liberal Democrat

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

East of England

Borough constituency, Chelmsford council

Last 5 GE winners

CCCCLD

Conservative 4/5, Liberal Democrats 1/5

EU referendum 2016

50.7% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -1.2pp below mean

Current outlook

Liberal Democrats +17.0pp

vs Reform UK 24.3%

SouthernBrexit-marginal

Who lives in Chelmsford? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

50.7%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

36.2%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

14.4%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

65.3%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

33.3%

UK average ~36%

Median age

39.6

UK median ~40

Age 65+

20.6%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

31.0%

UK average ~28%

How did Chelmsford vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

LD gain from Con · majority 4,753 votes (9.4pp) · turnout 65.9%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Chelmsford

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Chelmsford within Chelmsford

The Westminster constituency of Chelmsford sits entirely within Chelmsford Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Chelmsford 68 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Chelmsford at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Chelmsford at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	Con hold	Simon Burns	11.0%	46.2%	36.8%	2.8% UKIP	0.9%	2.4%	5,110	70.4%
2015	Con hold	Simon Burns	17.6%	51.5%	11.9%	14.2% UKIP	3.5%	1.2%	18,250	68.5%
2017	Con hold	Vicky Ford	29.8%	53.7%	12.2%	2.9% UKIP	1.4%	-	13,572	70.2%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Vicky Ford 2019 MP, pre-review boundary	18.1%	54.7%	26.1%	-	-	1.1%	15,416	70.4%
2024	LD gain from Con	Marie Goldman	12.0%	30.5%	39.9%	13.3% Ref	3.1%	1.2%	4,753	65.9%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Chelmsford

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Chelmsford. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.