Who is the MP for Camborne and Redruth?

Perran Moon (Labour) is the MP for Camborne and Redruth. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Camborne and Redruth at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Camborne and Redruth was won by Labour with 40.5% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 24.2%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Camborne and Redruth?

PollCheck's current projection has Reform UK on 34.5% and Labour on 24.7% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Camborne and Redruth in?

Camborne and Redruth sits within Cornwall council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Cornwall covers most or all of the Camborne and Redruth area.

What is the demographic profile of Camborne and Redruth?

Camborne and Redruth is in South West. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 58.4% in 2016). Around 29.3% of residents have a degree, a median age of 45, and 65.7% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Camborne and Redruth?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Camborne and Redruth, Labour won with 40.5% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Camborne and Redruth in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Camborne and Redruth: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Camborne and Redruth

South West · County constituency · Cornwall borough

Sitting MP

Perran Moon

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

South West

County constituency, Cornwall council

Last 5 GE winners

CCCCL

Conservative 4/5, Labour 1/5

EU referendum 2016

58.4% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +6.5pp above mean

Current outlook

Reform UK +9.8pp

Vulnerability score 8/10 (Labour projected to lose)

SouthernLeave-leaning

Who lives in Camborne and Redruth? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

58.4%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

29.3%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

17.1%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

65.7%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

32.7%

UK average ~36%

Median age

45.0

UK median ~40

Age 65+

27.6%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

26.1%

UK average ~28%

How did Camborne and Redruth vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 7,806 votes (16.3pp) · turnout 64.3%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Camborne and Redruth

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Camborne and Redruth within Cornwall

The Westminster constituency of Camborne and Redruth sits entirely within Cornwall Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Cornwall 58 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Camborne and Redruth at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Camborne and Redruth at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	Con gain from LD	George Eustice	16.3%	37.6%	37.4%	5.1% UKIP	1.4%	2.2%	66	66.4%
2015	Con hold	George Eustice	25.0%	40.2%	12.4%	14.8% UKIP	5.7%	2.0%	7,004	68.5%
2017	Con hold	George Eustice	44.2%	47.5%	6.1%	-	2.2%	-	1,577	70.8%
2019notional	Conservative winner	George Eustice 2019 MP, pre-review boundary	34.2%	53.3%	8.5%	-	2.8%	1.2%	9,848	70.1%
2024	Lab gain from Con	Perran Moon	40.5%	24.2%	8.6%	18.7% Ref	5.9%	2.0%	7,806	64.3%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Camborne and Redruth

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Camborne and Redruth. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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