Who is the MP for Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket?

Peter Prinsley (Labour) is the MP for Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket was won by Labour with 32.9% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 30.1%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket?

PollCheck's current projection has Reform UK on 33.5% and Labour on 22.2% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket in?

Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket crosses multiple council boundaries: West Suffolk (66%), Mid Suffolk (34%). Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units.

What is the demographic profile of Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket?

Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket is in East of England. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 58.6% in 2016). Around 31.2% of residents have a degree, a median age of 45, and 65.7% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket, Labour won with 32.9% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket

East of England · County constituency

Sitting MP

Peter Prinsley

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

East of England

County constituency

Last 5 GE winners

CCCCL

Conservative 4/5, Labour 1/5

EU referendum 2016

58.6% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +6.7pp above mean

Current outlook

Reform UK +11.3pp

Vulnerability score 8/10 (Labour projected to lose)

SouthernLeave-leaning

Who lives in Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

58.6%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

31.2%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

17.4%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

65.7%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

33.1%

UK average ~36%

Median age

45.0

UK median ~40

Age 65+

27.6%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

27.1%

UK average ~28%

How did Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 1,452 votes (2.8pp) · turnout 64.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket within West Suffolk and Mid Suffolk

Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket crosses multiple council boundaries: West Suffolk (66%), Mid Suffolk (34%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
West Suffolk 42 LSOAs	66%
Mid Suffolk 22 LSOAs	34%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Con hold	David Ruffley Bury St Edmunds MP	16.6%	47.5%	26.4%	5.1% UKIP	4.3%	-	12,380	69.3%
2015predecessor	Con hold	Jo Churchill Bury St Edmunds MP	17.7%	53.6%	6.0%	14.7% UKIP	7.9%	-	21,301	69.0%
2017predecessor	Con hold	Jo Churchill Bury St Edmunds MP	29.5%	59.2%	5.7%	-	4.2%	1.4%	18,441	72.2%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Jo Churchill Bury St Edmunds MP, pre-review boundary	20.8%	62.9%	1.1%	-	12.4%	2.8%	22,085	69.4%
2024	Lab gain from Con	Peter Prinsley	32.9%	30.0%	6.2%	16.9% Ref	11.3%	2.6%	1,452	64.8%

Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Bury St Edmunds (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.