Constituency profile

Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven

South East · Borough constituency

Chris Ward MP
Sitting MP

Chris Ward

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
South East
Borough constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCLLL
Labour 3/5, Conservative 2/5
EU referendum 2016
34.8% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -17.1pp below mean
Current outlook
Green +5.8pp
Vulnerability score 8/10 (Labour projected to lose)
SouthernStrong Remain area

Who lives in Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
34.8%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
34.6%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
17.5%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
52.0%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
46.8%
UK average ~36%
Median age
40.5
UK median ~40
Age 65+
20.9%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
33.7%
UK average ~28%

How did Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 9,663 votes (23.8pp) · turnout 59.2%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven within Brighton and Hove and Lewes

Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven crosses multiple council boundaries: Brighton and Hove (75%), Lewes (25%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Brighton and Hove
43 LSOAs
75%
Lewes
14 LSOAs
25%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...
Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorCon gain from LabSimon Kirby Brighton, Kemptown MP34.9%38.0%18.0%3.2% UKIP5.5%0.5%1,32864.7%
2015predecessorCon holdSimon Kirby Brighton, Kemptown MP39.2%40.7%3.0%9.8% UKIP7.0%0.3%69066.8%
2017predecessorLab gain from ConLloyd Russell-Moyle Brighton, Kemptown MP58.3%38.3%3.0%--0.4%9,86872.5%
2019notionalLabour winnerLloyd Russell-Moyle Brighton, Kemptown MP, pre-review boundary51.2%34.4%6.0%-5.7%2.7%8,28070.8%
2024Lab holdChris Ward44.0%20.2%9.7%-19.7%6.4%9,66359.2%

Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Brighton, Kemptown (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

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Sources

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