Who is the MP for Boston and Skegness?

Richard Tice (Reform UK) is the MP for Boston and Skegness. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Boston and Skegness at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Boston and Skegness was won by Reform UK with 38.4% of the vote, ahead of Conservative on 33.4%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Boston and Skegness?

PollCheck's current projection has Reform UK on 55.0% and Conservative on 20.5% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Boston and Skegness in?

Boston and Skegness crosses multiple council boundaries: Boston (58%), East Lindsey (42%). Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units.

What is the demographic profile of Boston and Skegness?

Boston and Skegness is in East Midlands. The seat is Leave-voting (Leave vote estimated at 75.7% in 2016). Around 18.1% of residents have a degree, a median age of 47, and 60.2% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Boston and Skegness?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Boston and Skegness, Reform UK won with 38.4% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Boston and Skegness in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Boston and Skegness: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Reform UK.

Constituency profile

Boston and Skegness

East Midlands · County constituency

Sitting MP

Richard Tice

Reform UK

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

East Midlands

County constituency

Last 5 GE winners

CCCCR

Conservative 4/5, Reform UK 1/5

EU referendum 2016

75.7% Leave

UK average 51.9%; +23.8pp above mean

Current outlook

Reform UK +34.5pp

vs Conservative 20.5%

MidlandsStrong Leave areaWorking-class profile

Who lives in Boston and Skegness? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

75.7%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

18.1%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

29.1%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

60.2%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

38.5%

UK average ~36%

Median age

46.6

UK median ~40

Age 65+

28.9%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

25.2%

UK average ~28%

How did Boston and Skegness vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

RUK gain from Con · majority 2,010 votes (5.0pp) · turnout 53.4%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Boston and Skegness

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Boston and Skegness within Boston and East Lindsey

Boston and Skegness crosses multiple council boundaries: Boston (58%), East Lindsey (42%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Boston 39 LSOAs	58%
East Lindsey 28 LSOAs	42%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Boston and Skegness at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Boston and Skegness at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	Con hold	Mark Simmonds	20.6%	49.4%	14.8%	9.5% UKIP	-	5.7%	12,426	64.2%
2015	Con hold	Matt Warman	16.5%	43.8%	2.3%	33.8% UKIP	1.8%	1.7%	4,336	64.6%
2017	Con hold	Matt Warman	25.0%	63.6%	1.8%	7.7% UKIP	1.3%	0.7%	16,572	62.7%
2019notional	Conservative winner	Matt Warman 2019 MP, pre-review boundary	15.6%	76.4%	4.8%	-	-	3.2%	27,402	59.4%
2024	RUK gain from Con	Richard Tice	18.9%	33.4%	3.4%	38.4% Ref	3.7%	2.3%	2,010	53.4%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Boston and Skegness

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Boston and Skegness. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.