Who is the MP for Bermondsey and Old Southwark?

Neil Coyle (Labour) is the MP for Bermondsey and Old Southwark. They were first elected in May 2015.

Who won Bermondsey and Old Southwark at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Bermondsey and Old Southwark was won by Labour with 44.8% of the vote, ahead of Liberal Democrats on 24.1%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Bermondsey and Old Southwark?

PollCheck's current projection has Labour on 28.4% and Liberal Democrats on 26.6% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Bermondsey and Old Southwark in?

Bermondsey and Old Southwark sits within Southwark council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Southwark covers most or all of the Bermondsey and Old Southwark area.

What is the demographic profile of Bermondsey and Old Southwark?

Bermondsey and Old Southwark is in London. The seat is Remain-voting (Leave vote estimated at 26.1% in 2016). Around 56.9% of residents have a degree, a median age of 32, and 23.8% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Bermondsey and Old Southwark?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Bermondsey and Old Southwark, Labour won with 44.8% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Bermondsey and Old Southwark in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Bermondsey and Old Southwark: 2010 Liberal Democrats, 2015 Labour, 2017 Labour, 2019 Labour, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Bermondsey and Old Southwark

London · Borough constituency · Southwark borough

Sitting MP

Neil Coyle

Labour

First elected May 2015

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

London

Borough constituency, Southwark council

Last 5 GE winners

LDLLLL

Labour 4/5, Liberal Democrats 1/5

EU referendum 2016

26.1% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -25.8pp below mean

Current outlook

Labour +1.8pp

vs Liberal Democrats 26.6%

LondonStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavyDiverse

Who lives in Bermondsey and Old Southwark? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

26.1%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

56.9%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

12.6%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

23.8%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

73.0%

UK average ~36%

Median age

32.5

UK median ~40

Age 65+

8.3%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

49.7%

UK average ~28%

How did Bermondsey and Old Southwark vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 7,787 votes (20.7pp) · turnout 54.1%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Bermondsey and Old Southwark

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Bermondsey and Old Southwark within Southwark

The Westminster constituency of Bermondsey and Old Southwark sits entirely within Southwark Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat	Projection
Southwark 63 LSOAs	100%	View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Bermondsey and Old Southwark at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Bermondsey and Old Southwark at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	LD hold	Simon Hughes	29.2%	17.1%	48.4%	-	1.6%	3.7%	8,530	57.5%
2015	Lab gain from LD	Neil Coyle	43.1%	11.8%	34.3%	6.3% UKIP	3.9%	0.6%	4,489	61.7%
2017	Lab hold	Neil Coyle	53.2%	13.0%	31.1%	1.4% UKIP	1.1%	0.2%	12,972	67.0%
2019notional	Labour winner	Neil Coyle 2019 MP, pre-review boundary	49.6%	16.8%	31.1%	-	0.1%	2.4%	8,515	65.0%
2024	Lab hold	Neil Coyle	44.8%	7.7%	24.1%	9.0% Ref	11.9%	2.5%	7,787	54.1%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Bermondsey and Old Southwark

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Bermondsey and Old Southwark. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.