Who is the MP for Bangor Aberconwy?

Claire Hughes (Labour) is the MP for Bangor Aberconwy. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Bangor Aberconwy at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Bangor Aberconwy was won by Labour with 33.6% of the vote, ahead of Plaid Cymru on 21.9%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Bangor Aberconwy?

PollCheck's current projection has Plaid Cymru on 34.3% and Reform UK on 22.0% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Bangor Aberconwy in?

Bangor Aberconwy crosses multiple council boundaries: Conwy (68%), Gwynedd (29%), Denbighshire (4%). Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units.

What is the demographic profile of Bangor Aberconwy?

Bangor Aberconwy is in Wales. The seat is closely divided on Brexit (Leave vote estimated at 47.0% in 2016). Around 34.8% of residents have a degree, a median age of 46, and 65.6% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Bangor Aberconwy?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Bangor Aberconwy, Labour won with 33.6% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Bangor Aberconwy in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Bangor Aberconwy: 2010 Conservative, 2015 Conservative, 2017 Conservative, 2019 Conservative, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Bangor Aberconwy

Wales · County constituency

Sitting MP

Claire Hughes

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

Wales

County constituency

Last 5 GE winners

CCCCL

Conservative 4/5, Labour 1/5

EU referendum 2016

47.0% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -4.9pp below mean

Current outlook

Plaid Cymru +12.3pp

Vulnerability score 10/10 (Labour projected to lose)

WelshBrexit-marginal

Who lives in Bangor Aberconwy? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

47.0%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

34.8%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

16.0%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

65.6%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

33.9%

UK average ~36%

Median age

45.6

UK median ~40

Age 65+

27.7%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

28.9%

UK average ~28%

How did Bangor Aberconwy vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 4,896 votes (11.7pp) · turnout 59.1%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Bangor Aberconwy

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 1,500 residents each, from the 2021 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Senedd 2026 layer

How Bangor Aberconwy voted at the Senedd election (7 May 2026)

Bangor Aberconwy sits entirely within the Senedd constituency of Bangor Conwy Môn. Senedd elections use a closed-list proportional system; each Senedd seat returns six members.

Senedd constituency	Share of Bangor Aberconwy	Winner	Runner-up	Seats (6 per constituency)
Bangor Conwy Môn	99%	Plaid Cymru 44.9%	Reform UK 28.1%	3 Plaid Cymru, 2 Reform UK, 1 Conservative

Senedd 2026 results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new 16-seat Senedd boundary.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Bangor Aberconwy within Conwy and Gwynedd and 1 other council

Bangor Aberconwy crosses multiple council boundaries: Conwy (68%), Gwynedd (29%), Denbighshire (4%). The figures below come from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026 in each constituent council.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Conwy 38 LSOAs	68%
Gwynedd 16 LSOAs	29%
Denbighshire 2 LSOAs	4%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Bangor Aberconwy at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Bangor Aberconwy at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Con hold	David Jones Clwyd West MP	24.7%	41.5%	15.2%	2.3% UKIP	-	0.9%	6,419	65.8%
2015predecessor	Con hold	David Jones Clwyd West MP	25.6%	43.3%	3.6%	13.1% UKIP	-	2.1%	6,730	64.8%
2017predecessor	Con hold	David Jones Clwyd West MP	39.6%	48.1%	2.7%	-	-	-	3,437	69.8%
2019notional	Conservative winner	David Jones Clwyd West MP, pre-review boundary	38.4%	40.0%	4.4%	-	-	17.2%	749	68.7%
2024	Lab gain from Con	Claire Hughes	33.6%	21.7%	3.7%	14.6% Ref	3.3%	1.3%	4,896	59.1%

Bangor Aberconwy was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Clwyd West (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Bangor Aberconwy

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Bangor Aberconwy. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.