Who is the MP for Alloa and Grangemouth?

Brian Leishman (Labour) is the MP for Alloa and Grangemouth. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Alloa and Grangemouth at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Alloa and Grangemouth was won by Labour with 43.8% of the vote, ahead of SNP on 28.9%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Alloa and Grangemouth?

PollCheck's current projection has SNP on 35.4% and Labour on 24.5% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Alloa and Grangemouth in?

Alloa and Grangemouth sits within Clackmannanshire council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Clackmannanshire covers most or all of the Alloa and Grangemouth area.

What is the demographic profile of Alloa and Grangemouth?

Alloa and Grangemouth is in Scotland. The seat is Remain-voting (Leave vote estimated at 41.2% in 2016). Around 39.5% of residents have a degree, a median age of 44, and 64.5% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Alloa and Grangemouth?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Alloa and Grangemouth, Labour won with 43.8% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Alloa and Grangemouth in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Alloa and Grangemouth: 2010 Labour, 2015 SNP, 2017 Conservative, 2019 SNP, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Alloa and Grangemouth

Scotland · County constituency · Clackmannanshire borough

Sitting MP

Brian Leishman

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

Scotland

County constituency, Clackmannanshire council

Last 5 GE winners

LSCSL

Labour 2/5, SNP 2/5, Conservative 1/5

EU referendum 2016

41.2% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -10.7pp below mean

Current outlook

SNP +10.9pp

Vulnerability score 8/10 (Labour projected to lose)

ScottishRemain-leaning

Who lives in Alloa and Grangemouth? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

41.2%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

39.5%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

18.2%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

64.5%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

34.1%

UK average ~36%

Median age

44.5

UK median ~40

Age 65+

23.6%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

26.4%

UK average ~28%

How did Alloa and Grangemouth vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from SNP · majority 6,122 votes (14.9pp) · turnout 58.3%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Alloa and Grangemouth

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 800 residents each, from Scotland's 2022 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Alloa and Grangemouth voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Alloa and Grangemouth crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Clackmannanshire and Dunblane (57%), Falkirk East and Linlithgow (25%), Falkirk West (15%), Stirling (2%), Perthshire South and Kinross-shire (1%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituency	Share of Alloa and Grangemouth	Winner	Runner-up	Elected MSP
Clackmannanshire and Dunblane	57%	SNP 37.8%	Labour 24.6%	Keith Brown
Falkirk East and Linlithgow	25%	SNP 38.6%	Labour 24.1%	Martyn Day
Falkirk West	15%	SNP 41.2%	Reform UK 22.6%	Gary Bouse
Stirling	2%	SNP 42.4%	Conservative 19.2%	Alyn Smith
Perthshire South and Kinross-shire	1%	SNP 40.4%	Conservative 26.5%	Jim Fairlie

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

Alloa and Grangemouth within Clackmannanshire

The Westminster constituency of Alloa and Grangemouth sits entirely within Clackmannanshire Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Clackmannanshire 1 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Alloa and Grangemouth at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Alloa and Grangemouth at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010predecessor	Lab hold	Gordon Banks Ochil and South Perthshire MP	37.9%	20.5%	11.4%	1.4% UKIP	1.2%	-	5,187	67.2%
2015predecessor	SNP gain from Lab	Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh Ochil and South Perthshire MP	28.4%	20.7%	2.6%	2.3% UKIP	-	-	10,168	74.8%
2017predecessor	Con gain from SNP	Luke Graham Ochil and South Perthshire MP	20.0%	41.5%	3.2%	-	-	-	3,359	70.6%
2019notional	Scottish National Party winner	John Nicolson Ochil and South Perthshire MP, pre-review boundary	14.5%	24.8%	5.3%	0.8% Brx	-	54.6%	12,727	63.2%
2024	Lab gain from SNP	Brian Leishman	43.8%	7.6%	2.8%	9.2% Ref	3.4%	4.2%	6,122	58.3%

Alloa and Grangemouth was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Ochil and South Perthshire (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Alloa and Grangemouth

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Alloa and Grangemouth. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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