Who is the MP for Airdrie and Shotts?

Kenneth Stevenson (Labour) is the MP for Airdrie and Shotts. They were first elected in July 2024.

Who won Airdrie and Shotts at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Airdrie and Shotts was won by Labour with 51.5% of the vote, ahead of SNP on 30.9%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Airdrie and Shotts?

PollCheck's current projection has SNP on 35.3% and Labour on 31.7% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Airdrie and Shotts in?

Airdrie and Shotts sits within North Lanarkshire council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but North Lanarkshire covers most or all of the Airdrie and Shotts area.

What is the demographic profile of Airdrie and Shotts?

Airdrie and Shotts is in Scotland. The seat is Remain-voting (Leave vote estimated at 39.8% in 2016). Around 35.7% of residents have a degree, a median age of 42, and 62.3% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Airdrie and Shotts?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Airdrie and Shotts, Labour won with 51.5% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Airdrie and Shotts in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Airdrie and Shotts: 2010 Labour, 2015 SNP, 2017 SNP, 2019 SNP, 2024 Labour.

Constituency profile

Airdrie and Shotts

Scotland · County constituency · North Lanarkshire borough

Sitting MP

Kenneth Stevenson

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

Scotland

County constituency, North Lanarkshire council

Last 5 GE winners

LSSSL

SNP 3/5, Labour 2/5

EU referendum 2016

39.8% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -12.1pp below mean

Current outlook

SNP +3.6pp

Vulnerability score 6/10 (Labour projected to lose)

ScottishRemain-leaning

Who lives in Airdrie and Shotts? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

39.8%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

35.7%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

22.9%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

62.3%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

36.5%

UK average ~36%

Median age

42.2

UK median ~40

Age 65+

21.0%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

28.8%

UK average ~28%

How did Airdrie and Shotts vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from SNP · majority 7,547 votes (20.6pp) · turnout 52.2%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Airdrie and Shotts

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 800 residents each, from Scotland's 2022 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Airdrie and Shotts voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Airdrie and Shotts crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Airdrie (87%), Uddingston and Bellshill (5%), Motherwell and Wishaw (4%), Bathgate (1%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituency	Share of Airdrie and Shotts	Winner	Runner-up	Elected MSP
Airdrie	87%	SNP 42.0%	Labour 24.3%	Neil Gray
Uddingston and Bellshill	5%	SNP 40.9%	Labour 30.2%	Steven Bonnar
Motherwell and Wishaw	4%	SNP 43.7%	Labour 23.6%	Clare Adamson
Bathgate	1%	SNP 40.7%	Labour 24.0%	Pauline Stafford

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

Airdrie and Shotts within North Lanarkshire

The Westminster constituency of Airdrie and Shotts sits entirely within North Lanarkshire Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
North Lanarkshire 1 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Airdrie and Shotts at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Airdrie and Shotts at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	Lab hold	Pamela Nash	58.2%	8.7%	8.1%	-	-	1.5%	12,408	57.5%
2015	SNP gain from Lab	Neil Gray	34.1%	7.7%	1.5%	2.5% UKIP	-	0.3%	8,779	66.3%
2017	SNP hold	Neil Gray	37.1%	23.2%	2.1%	-	-	-	195	59.2%
2019notional	Scottish National Party winner	Neil Gray 2019 MP, pre-review boundary	33.1%	17.3%	3.6%	-	-	46.0%	5,324	65.8%
2024	Lab gain from SNP	Kenneth Stevenson	51.5%	4.6%	2.0%	8.1% Ref	-	2.9%	7,547	52.2%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Airdrie and Shotts

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Airdrie and Shotts. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.