Who is the MP for Aberdeen North?

Kirsty Blackman (Scottish National Party) is the MP for Aberdeen North. They were first elected in May 2015.

Who won Aberdeen North at the 2024 general election?

The 2024 general election in Aberdeen North was won by SNP with 34.5% of the vote, ahead of Labour on 30.3%.

Who is projected to win the next election in Aberdeen North?

PollCheck's current projection has SNP on 40.9% and Reform UK on 20.5% if a general election were held today. The projection updates as new polling is added.

What council is Aberdeen North in?

Aberdeen North sits within Aberdeen City council. Westminster constituencies and local councils are separate units, but Aberdeen City covers most or all of the Aberdeen North area.

What is the demographic profile of Aberdeen North?

Aberdeen North is in Scotland. The seat is Remain-voting (Leave vote estimated at 43.1% in 2016). Around 44.0% of residents have a degree, a median age of 40, and 56.9% of homes are owner-occupied (Census 2021).

When was the last general election in Aberdeen North?

The most recent general election was held on 4 July 2024. In Aberdeen North, SNP won with 34.5% of the vote. The next general election must be held by August 2029.

Which parties have won Aberdeen North in recent elections?

Recent general election winners in Aberdeen North: 2010 Labour, 2015 SNP, 2017 SNP, 2019 SNP, 2024 SNP.

Constituency profile

Aberdeen North

Scotland · Burgh constituency · Aberdeen City borough

Sitting MP

Kirsty Blackman

Scottish National Party

First elected May 2015

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type

Scotland

Burgh constituency, Aberdeen City council

Last 5 GE winners

LSSSS

SNP 4/5, Labour 1/5

EU referendum 2016

43.1% Leave

UK average 51.9%; -8.8pp below mean

Current outlook

SNP +20.4pp

vs Reform UK 20.5%

ScottishRemain-leaningGraduate-heavy

Who lives in Aberdeen North? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016

43.1%

UK average ~52%

Degree or above

44.0%

UK average ~34%

No qualifications

15.5%

UK average ~18%

Owner-occupied

56.9%

UK average ~63%

Renting (social + private)

41.8%

UK average ~36%

Median age

39.9

UK median ~40

Age 65+

21.5%

UK average ~19%

Age 18-34

31.9%

UK average ~28%

How did Aberdeen North vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

SNP hold · majority 1,760 votes (4.2pp) · turnout 55.4%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Aberdeen North

Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 800 residents each, from Scotland's 2022 Census). Hover any area for detail.

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Aberdeen North voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Aberdeen North crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Aberdeen Donside (86%), Aberdeen Central (9%), Aberdeen Deeside and North Kincardine (3%), Aberdeenshire East (2%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituency	Share of Aberdeen North	Winner	Runner-up	Elected MSP
Aberdeen Donside	86%	SNP 38.6%	Reform UK 23.0%	Jackie Dunbar
Aberdeen Central	9%	SNP 44.1%	Labour 18.4%	Jack Middleton
Aberdeen Deeside and North Kincardine	3%	SNP 34.1%	Conservative 30.5%	Stephen Flynn
Aberdeenshire East	2%	SNP 33.4%	Conservative 30.7%	Gillian Martin

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

Aberdeen North within Aberdeen City

The Westminster constituency of Aberdeen North sits entirely within Aberdeen City Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - the figures below are from the council elections held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

Council overlap

Council	Share of seat
Aberdeen City 1 LSOAs	100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward. Where May 2026 elections happened, those are shown; otherwise the most recent year on the ward’s pre-2026 boundary (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024). The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.

Loading ward results...

Ward	GE2024 winner	Latest council winner	Shift since GE2024	Turnout

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Aberdeen North at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Aberdeen North at past general elections?

2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.

Year	Result	MP	Lab	Con	LD	Right (Ref/UKIP)	Green	Other	Majority	Turnout
2010	Lab hold	Frank Doran	44.4%	12.4%	18.6%	-	-	2.4%	8,361	58.2%
2015	SNP gain from Lab	Kirsty Blackman	25.9%	12.1%	4.7%	-	-	0.9%	13,396	64.9%
2017	SNP hold	Kirsty Blackman	30.0%	22.7%	4.6%	-	-	1.4%	4,139	59.2%
2019notional	Scottish National Party winner	Kirsty Blackman 2019 MP, pre-review boundary	12.0%	24.5%	7.7%	-	-	55.8%	14,210	65.2%
2024	SNP hold	Kirsty Blackman	30.3%	14.0%	6.1%	9.0% Ref	3.0%	3.0%	1,760	55.4%

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Aberdeen North

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Aberdeen North. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Sources

2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.